Markets carried their strong momentum from the second quarter into the third quarter, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 each hitting new highs. Investor sentiment remained optimistic despite soft labor market data and mixed economic signals, and stocks traded higher due to strong corporate earnings, the Federal Reserve’s resumption of rate cuts, and easing trade tensions.
Market Commentary 9/25/25
Fed Rate Cut and Historic Tightness in Credit Spreads
Last week’s Federal Reserve rate cut was widely anticipated, but the market reaction underscored just how unusual today’s credit environment has become.
Corporate credit spreads, already compressed by historical standards, tightened further, underscoring investor appetite for corporate bonds even as Treasury yields remain elevated.
Credit Spreads at Multi-Decade Lows
Corporate borrowers are paying risk premiums not seen in decades. Investment-grade spreads have fallen to 0.77%, a level last observed in 1998 and far below the long-run average of roughly 1.30%. Additionally, high-yield spreads, at 2.79%, are similarly depressed, marking their tightest level since 2007 and sitting well below the median of 4.59% since 1996.
This divergence highlights the unusual dynamic of today’s market: investors are willing to accept historically low compensation for corporate risk even as concerns about U.S. fiscal sustainability keep Treasury yields elevated. In effect, corporations are viewed as safer bets than the sovereign balance sheet they borrow against.
Want to read more? Click below to download our entire market commentary…
Investment products and services are offered through Wells Fargo Advisors Financial Network, LLC (WFAFN), Member SIPC. Oxford Harriman & Company is a separate entity from WFAFN. PM-03232027-8417473.1.1
Related Posts
Q3 2025 Quarterly Market Commentary
Markets carried their strong momentum from the second quarter into the third quarter, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 each hitting new highs. Investor sentiment remained optimistic despite soft labor market data and mixed economic signals, and stocks traded higher due to strong corporate earnings, the Federal Reserve’s resumption of rate cuts, and easing trade tensions.
Market Commentary 9/11/25
The S&P 500 gained 2.1% in August, extending its year-to-date return to 10.7%. Led by a 3.2% gain in Large Cap Value stocks, Growth trailed with a more modest 1.2% return. Health Care emerged as the best-performing sector, helping to lift the index, while Utilities and Technology lagged.