BAILEY FINANCIAL GROUP MARKET COMMENTARY
November 20, 2024
Market Commentary
An Oxford Harriman & Company Market Commentary
Comments on the Election:
The election is over, and global markets are analyzing the outcome and starting to adjust portfolios. Republicans are set to control the White House, Senate, and House, but the results are also notable for a historical reason: the president-elect, Donald Trump, is returning to office after a previous election loss—a rare political comeback not seen since Grover Cleveland in 1892. As a result, investors are looking to Trump’s first term as a roadmap for how his next administration’s policies may impact markets.
Early returns since the election demonstrate that investors expect a repeat of Trump’s first term. Bank stocks are rising due to expected deregulation, and small-cap stocks are trading higher in anticipation of tax cuts, deregulation, and protectionist trade policies that may favor domestically focused companies.
Conversely, international stocks have declined due to concerns about the impact of tariffs on global trade. Renewable energy stocks have declined as well, with investors expecting Trump to roll back clean energy policies and subsidies. Just last week, Trump announced his plan to remove the tax credits for purchasing electric vehicles, sending stocks in this sector lower.
In the bond market, Treasury yields have risen due to concerns that tax cuts will keep the federal deficit high. These early trends reflect a mix of the prior administration’s policies
and recent campaign messaging.
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Important Disclosures: Wells Fargo Advisors Financial Network did not assist in the preparation of this report, and its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the author(s) and are not necessarily those of Wells Fargo Advisors Financial Network or its affiliates. The material has been prepared or is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Additional information is available upon request.
S&P 500 Index: The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. It is a market value weighted index with each stock’s weight in the Index proportionate to its market value.
This article was written by Dennis P. Barba, Jr. CEO, Managing Partner, Michael P. Finkelstein, CFA, Partner, and Robert Frenkel, CFP® of Oxford Harriman & Company and provided to you by Mark S. Bailey, Managing Partner, Senior Portfolio Manager.
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